Status CONDITIONAL PASS · NEUTRAL regime (×0.90) · Risk-on tape
What changed. Versus the prior read (3,556 names compared): up AMOD 0.346→0.698, SCKT 0.353→0.702, ZNB 0.310→0.623, SANG 0.416→0.689, AIXI 0.356→0.626, BIOM 0.193→0.456, KPEA 0.307→0.561, PRPH 0.331→0.575, FNGR 0.464→0.707, ABCFF 0.232→0.473; down WHLT 0.622→0.324, AETN 0.471→0.200, MGLD 0.870→0.628, TKRFF 0.467→0.233, HEPA 0.434→0.202, ONCO 0.569→0.340, SPQS 0.511→0.294, SPQSD 0.511→0.294, GRABW 0.505→0.292, FTHM 0.646→0.458. New STRONG: QSI, INSG, FEAM, BBD, FNGR, TNMG, SCKT, AMOD, ICU, SANG, CCO, SSM, SITC, NAUT, KEEL, SES, XPOF, OM, DLXY, NABL, ELME, OABI, AIB, UAA, ANNX, ARRY, JELD, HTZ. Dropped from STRONG: SUIG, ABUS, VGZ, MGLD, MNTK, SIGA, VZLA, IAUX, TDIC, NXDR, KLXE, IFBD.
Why it matters. Cross-asset read: 10-year yield +0.8% (yields up: tighter conditions for small caps); VIX -6.6% (volatility easing: risk appetite improving); High-yield credit +0.0% (credit bid: financing window open); Oil -1.8% (oil down: inflation relief); Russell 2000 (small caps) +0.9% (small caps confirm); Bitcoin -0.3% (crypto risk appetite negative). 32 STRONG and 599 WATCH names; 59 carry dilution risk of 0.6 or more.
What this means. Empirical odds for IWM next session in the NEUTRAL regime: +38% up, +38% flat, +23% down (n=39).
Each material SEC filing is measured against the stock's own price and volume from the session before it, read against every penny stock with the same kind of event, and scored by the GeoSignal Event Intelligence engine. Cases stay in every edition until they resolve.
| Ticker | Event | Filing | First session | Since | Peak vol | Peers median | Read | Confidence | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMOD | Other material event | 8-K 2026-10-02 | +198.3% | +198.3% | 199.61x | -4.8% (n=574) | READ FROM REACTION | 60 | MONITORING |
| AMOD | Acquisition or disposition completed | 8-K 2026-10-01 | -24.5% | +125.2% | 1596.80x | -14.1% (n=8) | READ FROM REACTION | 60 | MONITORING |
| KBSR | Material agreement | 8-K 2026-10-01 | -33.3% | +122.2% | 5.96x | -2.7% (n=100) | CONFIRMED | 60 | MONITORING |
| NAMMW | Other material event | 6-K 2026-09-30 | +40.8% | +104.0% | 10.78x | -4.8% (n=574) | READ FROM REACTION | 60 | MONITORING |
| SAIQ | Other material event | 6-K 2026-10-01 | -60.8% | -74.7% | 141.69x | -4.8% (n=574) | READ FROM REACTION | 80 | MONITORING |
| MI | Other material event | 6-K 2026-09-30 | -3.6% | -60.1% | 21.86x | -4.8% (n=574) | READ FROM REACTION | 80 | MONITORING |
| MI | Other material event | 6-K 2026-09-30 | -3.6% | -60.1% | 21.86x | -4.8% (n=574) | READ FROM REACTION | 80 | MONITORING |
| NIVF | Other material event | 6-K 2026-09-30 | +133.3% | +79.2% | 206.36x | -4.8% (n=574) | READ FROM REACTION | 60 | MONITORING |
| HVIIU | Other material event | 8-K 2026-09-23 | -55.3% | -55.3% | 1.43x | -4.8% (n=574) | READ FROM REACTION | 80 | MONITORING |
| FNGR | Material agreement | 8-K 2026-09-29 | -2.8% | +74.7% | 18.09x | -2.7% (n=100) | CONFIRMED | 60 | MONITORING |
| HVIIU | Material agreement | 8-K 2026-09-22 | -16.3% | -62.6% | 3.16x | -2.7% (n=100) | CONTRADICTED | 70 | MONITORING |
| LIFD | Acquisition or disposition completed | 8-K 2026-10-01 | 0.0% | +70.0% | 1.88x | -14.1% (n=8) | READ FROM REACTION | 60 | MONITORING |
| APUS | Other material event | 8-K 2026-09-29 | -21.4% | -49.6% | 0.12x | -4.8% (n=574) | READ FROM REACTION | 80 | MONITORING |
| WHLR | Share offering / registration | 424B3 2026-09-29 | -18.3% | -49.4% | 0.08x | -6.0% (n=235) | CONFIRMED | 80 | MONITORING |
| WHLR | Share offering / registration | 424B3 2026-09-29 | -18.3% | -49.4% | 0.08x | -6.0% (n=235) | CONFIRMED | 80 | MONITORING |
| WHLR | Share offering / registration | 424B3 2026-09-29 | -18.3% | -49.4% | 0.08x | -6.0% (n=235) | CONFIRMED | 80 | MONITORING |
| WHLR | Share offering / registration | 424B3 2026-09-29 | -18.3% | -49.4% | 0.08x | -6.0% (n=235) | CONFIRMED | 80 | MONITORING |
| WHLR | Unregistered share sale | 8-K 2026-09-29 | -18.3% | -49.4% | 0.08x | -2.6% (n=56) | CONFIRMED | 80 | MONITORING |
| DKI | Other material event | 6-K 2026-09-30 | -38.4% | -45.9% | 63.37x | -4.8% (n=574) | READ FROM REACTION | 80 | MONITORING |
| DKI | Share offering / registration | F-1 2026-09-30 | -38.4% | -45.9% | 63.37x | -6.0% (n=235) | CONFIRMED | 80 | MONITORING |
| QTEX | Other material event | 6-K 2026-10-01 | +15.1% | +61.3% | 70.10x | -4.8% (n=574) | READ FROM REACTION | 60 | MONITORING |
| SGLA | Unregistered share sale | 8-K 2026-09-29 | -54.7% | -39.7% | 22.14x | -2.6% (n=56) | CONFIRMED | 80 | MONITORING |
| LRHC | Leadership change | 8-K 2026-09-29 | -1.6% | -38.3% | 12.86x | -2.9% (n=90) | READ FROM REACTION | 80 | MONITORING |
| VERI | Other material event | 8-K 2026-10-01 | -37.1% | -37.1% | 8.76x | -4.8% (n=574) | READ FROM REACTION | 80 | MONITORING |
| VERI | Share offering / registration | 424B5 2026-10-01 | -37.1% | -37.1% | 8.76x | -6.0% (n=235) | CONFIRMED | 80 | MONITORING |
| Type | Stocks | Median | Up | Down | Qualified |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other material event | 591 | -4.8% | 140 | 378 | 296 |
| Share offering / registration | 240 | -6.0% | 55 | 157 | 103 |
| Material agreement | 107 | -2.7% | 29 | 59 | 49 |
| Leadership change | 96 | -2.9% | 25 | 61 | 29 |
| Unregistered share sale | 61 | -2.6% | 20 | 30 | 21 |
| Charter amendment / reverse split | 41 | -1.9% | 8 | 22 | 15 |
| Delisting / listing-standard notice | 35 | 0.0% | 14 | 16 | 7 |
| Shareholder vote results | 34 | -4.7% | 9 | 21 | 14 |
| Late periodic filing | 23 | 0.0% | 3 | 9 | 7 |
| Results of operations | 22 | -2.8% | 5 | 15 | 14 |
| Auditor change | 11 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Acquisition or disposition completed | 10 | -14.1% | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| Agreement terminated | 5 | +1.9% | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| Change in control | 2 | -11.3% | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Bankruptcy or receivership | 2 | -33.0% | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Debt acceleration / default trigger | 2 | -6.6% | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Change to shareholder rights | 1 | -31.9% | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Material impairment | 1 | +7.4% | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Prior financials unreliable | 1 | -3.8% | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Penny Signal Score per name, grouped by exchange. Label bands: STRONG ≥ 0.65 · WATCH ≥ 0.5 · NEUTRAL ≥ 0.35. Dashed lines mark the thresholds. Δ = change since the prior read. ⚑ = SEC catalyst or dilution note (hover).
| Ticker | Price | Chg | Momentum | Reliability | Liquidity | Regime × | Base | Dilution | Catalyst | PSS | Label | Δ |
|---|
Scored names by exchange tier and price band (count; equal weight).
Label distribution across the penny universe.
Left: how scores cluster. Right: the regime multiplier at which each top name drops out of its label; bars above the dashed line flip first if the regime compresses.
Equal-weight cohorts and model portfolios over the trailing 30 sessions, indexed to 100, against IWM. Membership is today's.
| Series | Members | Return | Sharpe | Max DD | Ann. vol |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STRONG | 32 | +70.7% | 6.68 | -8.5% | +71.2% |
| STRONG + WATCH | 587 | +2.0% | 0.96 | -6.2% | +18.8% |
| NEUTRAL | 822 | -14.4% | -7.06 | -15.9% | +18.3% |
| AVOID | 188 | -11.9% | -1.60 | -16.3% | +57.1% |
| Penny universe | 1,597 | -8.3% | -3.61 | -10.0% | +19.5% |
| IWM | 1 | -5.4% | -3.89 | -7.3% | +11.9% |
| Model | Members | Return | Sharpe | Max DD | Holdings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Signal Core | 25 | +97.7% | 6.91 | -9.0% | QSI, INSG, FEAM, RXRX, BBD, FNGR, PACB, TNMG, SCKT, MYGN, AMOD, ICU, SANG, CCO, SSM, SITC, NAUT, KEEL, GLND, SES, XPOF, OM, DLXY, NABL, ELME |
| B Momentum | 10 | +89.7% | 3.12 | -18.6% | FLUX, ZNB, CYCU, AMOD, HGAS, AIXI, GIFT, QTEX, PFAI, ASFH |
| C Quality Resilience | 10 | +39.0% | 4.71 | -8.2% | QSI, INSG, RXRX, PACB, MYGN, SANG, CCO, SSM, SITC, KEEL |
| Name | Close | Day | SMA20 | SMA50 | vs SMA20 | Momentum | Ann. vol | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IWM benchmark | 281.52 | +0.9% | — | — | — | -5.4% | — | Bearish |
| QSI | 1.55 | +8.4% | 0.8584 | 0.8064 | +80.6% | +98.7% | +146% | Bullish |
| INSG | 4.61 | +5.5% | 4.14 | 4.84 | +11.3% | +14.7% | +92% | Mixed |
| FEAM | 3.88 | +20.1% | 2.32 | 1.84 | +67.2% | +148.7% | +199% | Bullish |
| RXRX | 4.12 | +1.2% | 3.66 | 3.42 | +12.5% | +23.4% | +87% | Bullish |
| BBD | 3.65 | +4.0% | 3.49 | 3.39 | +4.6% | +22.5% | +38% | Bullish |
| FNGR | 0.2480 | +40.9% | 0.1619 | 0.2157 | +53.2% | +8.3% | +196% | Mixed |
| PACB | 2.54 | +1.2% | 1.59 | 1.42 | +60.2% | +106.5% | +116% | Bullish |
| TNMG | 4.76 | +14.7% | 3.51 | 1.67 | +35.6% | +1130.0% | +2432% | Bullish |
| SCKT | 0.7100 | +31.5% | 0.5215 | 0.6492 | +36.1% | +9.2% | +148% | Mixed |
| MYGN | 4.54 | +11.8% | 3.88 | 3.66 | +17.0% | +41.0% | +71% | Bullish |
| AMOD | 3.49 | +198.3% | 1.93 | 3.10 | +80.8% | -24.1% | +723% | Mixed |
| ICU | 4.69 | +25.1% | 3.41 | 3.31 | +37.5% | +40.4% | +109% | Bullish |
| SANG | 4.88 | -0.4% | 3.86 | 3.95 | +26.5% | +20.2% | +137% | Mixed |
| CCO | 2.39 | -0.4% | 2.37 | 2.38 | +0.7% | 0.0% | +10% | Mixed |
| SSM | 2.63 | +19.2% | 1.76 | 2.67 | +49.9% | -0.2% | +391% | Mixed |
| Instrument | Day | Trend | Read |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year yield | +0.76% | Bullish | yields up: tighter conditions for small caps |
| VIX | -6.59% | Mixed | volatility easing: risk appetite improving |
| High-yield credit | +0.01% | Bearish | credit bid: financing window open |
| Oil | -1.77% | Mixed | oil down: inflation relief |
| Russell 2000 (small caps) | +0.90% | Bearish | small caps confirm |
| Bitcoin | -0.33% | Bullish | crypto risk appetite negative |
| Instrument | Class | Close | Day | Momentum |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russell 2000 (small caps) IWM | Equity | 281.52 | +0.90% | -5.4% |
| S&P 500 SPY | Equity | 769.64 | +0.74% | +0.9% |
| Dow 30 DIA | Equity | 511.10 | +0.49% | -3.1% |
| Nasdaq-100 QQQ | Equity | 749.58 | +1.02% | +5.4% |
| 20Y+ Treasuries TLT | Rates | 77.48 | -0.30% | -5.9% |
| 10-year yield ^TNX | Rates | 5.28 | +0.76% | +12.4% |
| High-yield credit HYG | Credit | 76.91 | +0.01% | -3.3% |
| Gold GLD | Commodity | 380.14 | -0.68% | -8.5% |
| Oil USO | Commodity | 147.37 | -1.77% | +9.5% |
| VIX ^VIX | Volatility | 15.31 | -6.59% | +1.2% |
| Bitcoin BTC-USD | Crypto | 84574.74 | -0.33% | +9.4% |
| Ethereum ETH-USD | Crypto | 2675.79 | -1.10% | +11.9% |
| Ticker | PSS | Label | Filings |
|---|---|---|---|
| FEAM | 0.72 | STRONG | 8-K 1.01/2.01/2.02/2.03/9.01 2026-10-01 |
| KITT | 0.54 | WATCH | 8-K 1.01/2.03/9.01 2026-10-02; 8-K 1.01/9.01 2026-10-02; 8-K 1.01/9.01 2026-10-01; 8-K 1.01/9.01 2026-09-29 |
| EZRA | 0.49 | NEUTRAL | 8-K/A 2.01/9.01 2026-09-30; 8-K 1.01/1.02/2.01/9.01 2026-09-30 |
| CRTD | 0.48 | NEUTRAL | 8-K 1.01 2026-10-01; 8-K 1.01 2026-09-29 |
| FEAV | 0.47 | NEUTRAL | 8-K 1.01/2.01/2.02/2.03/9.01 2026-10-01 |
| BNBX | 0.41 | NEUTRAL | 8-K/A 1.01/9.01 2026-10-02; 8-K 7.01/9.01 2026-10-02; 8-K 1.01/9.01 2026-10-01 |
| ONAR | 0.34 | AVOID | 8-K 1.01/2.01/2.03/7.01/9.01 2026-09-30; 8-K 1.01/2.03/3.02/7.01/9.01 2026-09-29 |
| KITTW | — | INSUFFICIENT HISTORY | 8-K 1.01/2.03/9.01 2026-10-02; 8-K 1.01/9.01 2026-10-02; 8-K 1.01/9.01 2026-10-01; 8-K 1.01/9.01 2026-09-29 |
| VERI | 0.56 | WATCH | 8-K 8.01/9.01 2026-10-01; 8-K 1.01/7.01/9.01 2026-10-01 |
| AMOD | 0.70 | STRONG | 8-K 8.01 2026-10-02; 8-K 2.01/8.01 2026-10-01 |
| MKZR | 0.50 | WATCH | 8-K 7.01/8.01/9.01 2026-10-02; 8-K 7.01/8.01/9.01 2026-09-30 |
| AMODW | — | INSUFFICIENT HISTORY | 8-K 8.01 2026-10-02; 8-K 2.01/8.01 2026-10-01 |
| INSG | 0.73 | STRONG | 8-K 1.01/2.01/3.02/7.01/9.01 2026-10-01 |
| FNGR | 0.71 | STRONG | 8-K 1.01/8.01/9.01 2026-09-29 |
| JELD | 0.65 | STRONG | 8-K 1.01/7.01/9.01 2026-09-29 |
| FLWS | 0.60 | WATCH | 8-K 1.01/7.01/9.01 2026-09-29 |
| TPET | 0.58 | WATCH | 8-K 1.01/7.01/9.01 2026-09-30 |
| ROC | 0.57 | WATCH | 8-K 1.01/7.01/9.01 2026-09-30 |
| CRMT | 0.57 | WATCH | 8-K 1.01/8.01 2026-10-01 |
| LAB | 0.55 | WATCH | 8-K 1.01/1.02/7.01/9.01 2026-09-30 |
| Ticker | Price | Chg | RV | Risk | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLUX | 0.6400 | +57.3% | 958.48x | 0.64 | 5 registration/prospectus filing(s) in 90d (424B3); shares outstanding +28% year over year; +57% on 958x volume with no SEC filing catalyst |
| AMIX | 3.78 | -3.6% | 23.82x | 0.70 | 5 registration/prospectus filing(s) in 90d (424B3, 424B5, S-3); shares outstanding +66% year over year; charter amendment 8-K (item 5.03, often a reverse split) on 2026-06-24 |
| SHFS | 1.18 | -9.2% | 4.29x | 0.80 | 4 registration/prospectus filing(s) in 90d (424B7, S-1, S-1/A); shares outstanding +300% year over year; charter amendment 8-K (item 5.03, often a reverse split) on 2026-10-01 |
| SMTK | 1.65 | +0.6% | 4.27x | 0.80 | 4 registration/prospectus filing(s) in 90d (S-3, S-1, 424B3, S-3/A); shares outstanding +361% year over year; charter amendment 8-K (item 5.03, often a reverse split) on 2026-08-21 |
| SEV | 1.66 | -2.6% | 2.56x | 0.65 | 4 registration/prospectus filing(s) in 90d (S-3, 424B4, S-1/A, S-1); shares outstanding +181% year over year |
| CDT | 0.9900 | -20.8% | 2.31x | 0.80 | 4 registration/prospectus filing(s) in 90d (424B3, S-1); shares outstanding +287% year over year; charter amendment 8-K (item 5.03, often a reverse split) on 2026-09-25 |
| BBBYW | 0.3700 | -14.9% | 1.75x | 0.62 | 5 registration/prospectus filing(s) in 90d (424B3, 424B5, S-8, S-3); shares outstanding +38% year over year; charter amendment 8-K (item 5.03, often a reverse split) on 2026-08-14 |
| HOST | 3.60 | -7.2% | 1.62x | 0.80 | 4 registration/prospectus filing(s) in 90d (424B5); shares outstanding +115% year over year; charter amendment 8-K (item 5.03, often a reverse split) on 2026-09-17 |
| OTLK | 0.5930 | +3.1% | 1.23x | 0.80 | 4 registration/prospectus filing(s) in 90d (424B5, 424B3, S-3); shares outstanding +448% year over year; charter amendment 8-K (item 5.03, often a reverse split) on 2026-07-16 |
| USBC | 0.5300 | -1.8% | 1.05x | 0.65 | 3 registration/prospectus filing(s) in 90d (S-1/A); shares outstanding +5077% year over year |
Pump pattern: HGAS +95.8% on 104.21x volume, no SEC filing · FLUX +57.3% on 958.48x volume, no SEC filing · LTHIF +180.9% on 62.5x volume, no SEC filing · HSTC +976.9% on 13.14x volume, no SEC filing · RDAR +100.0% on 28.72x volume, no SEC filing
New registration/prospectus filings: PLAG (424B5) · KPLT (S-3/A, S-3, S-8, 424B3) · NEOV (S-3, 424B3) · SYNX (424B5) · BSEM (S-1, 424B3, S-1/A) · GLBS (F-3, 424B3) · NWGL (424B5, S-8, 424B3, F-1/A, F-1, F-3) · NEWH (424B3, S-1) · ENHA (424B3, S-1, S-8) · MAIA (424B3, S-3) · AERG (S-8) · TPST (424B3, S-3, S-1) · SBFM (S-1, 424B3, 424B5) · BESS (S-3/A, S-3) · HCWB (S-1, S-1/A) · NIKI (S-3/A, S-3) · LEXX (S-3) · BLRX (424B3, F-1, 424B5) · UZX (F-3/A, F-3, 424B5) · CDT (424B3, S-1) · CNDIF (424B2, 424B5, 424B3) · VSEE (S-1)
| Ticker | Last | Target | R/R | PSS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABUS | 4.45 | 5.23 | 5.54 | 0.64 |
| GT | 4.84 | 6.25 | 6.43 | 0.64 |
| SCNX | 0.1590 | 0.3850 | 7.89 | 0.62 |
| SOC | 3.51 | 5.38 | 5.78 | 0.62 |
| SGRX | 1.26 | 3.44 | 9.03 | 0.62 |
| VRRM | 2.81 | 4.18 | 7.92 | 0.61 |
| FLWS | 2.56 | 3.74 | 5.84 | 0.60 |
| ABR | 3.56 | 5.25 | 9.21 | 0.60 |
| MPT | 3.27 | 4.08 | 5.27 | 0.60 |
| LAC | 2.55 | 3.32 | 6.20 | 0.60 |
| Ticker | Last | Chg | RV | PSS | Label |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLUX | 0.6400 | +57.3% | 958.48x | 0.52 | AVOID |
| ZNB | 1.54 | +45.3% | 920.48x | 0.62 | WATCH |
| CYCU | 3.82 | +42.0% | 231.5x | 0.64 | WATCH |
| AMOD | 3.49 | +198.3% | 199.61x | 0.70 | STRONG |
| HGAS | 0.0985 | +95.8% | 104.21x | 0.57 | WATCH |
| AIXI | 1.81 | +49.0% | 92.58x | 0.63 | WATCH |
| GIFT | 0.5500 | +7.4% | 64.84x | 0.52 | WATCH |
| LTHIF | 0.0750 | +180.9% | 62.5x | 0.45 | NEUTRAL |
| QTEX | 1.10 | +40.1% | 54.38x | 0.64 | WATCH |
| AUID | 0.4390 | +16.1% | 36.81x | 0.48 | NEUTRAL |
| RDAR | 0.0002 | +100.0% | 28.72x | 0.35 | AVOID |
| PFAI | 2.53 | +5.4% | 22.86x | 0.54 | WATCH |
| ASFH | 0.2340 | +10.1% | 21.5x | 0.61 | WATCH |
| PBSV | 0.5000 | +11.1% | 16.72x | 0.57 | WATCH |
| SCKT | 0.7100 | +31.5% | 15.43x | 0.70 | STRONG |
| KPEA | 0.4293 | +30.9% | 15.22x | 0.56 | WATCH |
| BCUFF | 0.0550 | +7.0% | 15.2x | 0.47 | NEUTRAL |
| BIOM | 0.5000 | +6.4% | 14.04x | 0.46 | NEUTRAL |
| HSTC | 0.7000 | +976.9% | 13.14x | 0.44 | NEUTRAL |
| ICU | 4.69 | +25.1% | 12.54x | 0.69 | STRONG |
1,585 names with history trading $50,000+ a day: 373 up, 1,203 down, 9 unchanged. SEC filings in the window: 561 registrations or prospectuses, 2,518 8-K/6-K, 91 charter amendments, 35 late-filing notices.
| Ticker | Return | Last | Label |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALP | +2605.9% | 4.60 | NEUTRAL |
| IPDN | +2583.3% | 3.22 | AVOID |
| BURU | +2376.2% | 1.04 | NEUTRAL |
| MTNB | +1233.3% | 2.64 | NEUTRAL |
| IMMP | +1075.7% | 4.35 | NEUTRAL |
| BRTX | +979.2% | 2.14 | AVOID |
| CPOP | +949.2% | 3.20 | NEUTRAL |
| TNMG | +881.4% | 4.76 | STRONG |
| NRSN | +836.9% | 3.94 | NEUTRAL |
| UCAR | +580.3% | 4.15 | NEUTRAL |
| Ticker | Return | Last | Label |
|---|---|---|---|
| NCT | -98.6% | 1.68 | NEUTRAL |
| CTNT | -98.6% | 2.62 | NEUTRAL |
| MGN | -97.6% | 3.71 | NEUTRAL |
| DCX | -96.6% | 3.88 | NEUTRAL |
| CDT | -95.7% | 0.9900 | AVOID |
| AXG | -95.0% | 0.1150 | NEUTRAL |
| XHLD | -94.7% | 0.4880 | NEUTRAL |
| RETO | -93.8% | 1.55 | NEUTRAL |
| NCI | -93.6% | 0.8620 | NEUTRAL |
| RITRF | -92.9% | 0.0070 | NEUTRAL |
| Cohort | Names | Median | Mean |
|---|---|---|---|
| STRONG + WATCH | 585 | -7.3% | +1.3% |
| NEUTRAL | 817 | -14.6% | -2.9% |
| AVOID | 183 | -16.0% | +2.9% |
| Ticker | Filings | Dilution | Shares YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| CNDIF | 48 | 0.35 | — |
| PRKR | 18 | 0.42 | +22% |
| WHLR | 15 | 0.67 | +57% |
| BDRX | 15 | 0.35 | — |
| SPWR | 14 | 0.65 | +151% |
| ENHA | 10 | 0.50 | — |
| GYGY | 5 | 0.35 | — |
| AIIO | 5 | 0.35 | — |
| CDT | 4 | 0.80 | +287% |
| LASE | 4 | 0.65 | +251% |
Empirical frequencies over the last 39 NEUTRAL-regime sessions; up = above +0.5%, down = below -0.5%.
Trigger: IWM closes above its 20-day high (296.01) with ^VIX under 20
Read: Next-session IWM gain above +0.5%. STRONG names with catalysts get follow-through first.
Checkpoint: Watch the action board breakout levels at the open.
Trigger: IWM holds between 277.89 and 296.01
Read: Next-session move inside -0.5% to +0.5%. Stock-specific catalysts drive penny returns.
Checkpoint: Rank by PSS; size by the ATR band.
Trigger: IWM loses its 20-day average (285.01) or ^VIX above 20
Read: Next-session loss beyond -0.5%. Dilution names and pump patterns unwind hardest.
Checkpoint: Respect invalidation levels; avoid-list names first to fail.
| Ticker | Label | Last | Breakout above | Invalidation below | ATR band | R/R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QSI | STRONG | 1.55 | 1.55 | 1.43 | 1.43–1.67 | 0.00 |
| INSG | STRONG | 4.61 | 4.76 | 4.33 | 4.33–4.88 | 0.15 |
| FEAM | STRONG | 3.88 | 3.92 | 3.48 | 3.48–4.28 | 0.02 |
| RXRX | STRONG | 4.12 | 4.29 | 3.85 | 3.85–4.39 | 0.17 |
| BBD | STRONG | 3.65 | 3.66 | 3.54 | 3.54–3.76 | 0.03 |
| FNGR | STRONG | 0.2480 | 0.2860 | 0.2233 | 0.2233–0.2727 | 0.32 |
| PACB | STRONG | 2.54 | 2.65 | 2.37 | 2.37–2.71 | 0.09 |
| TNMG | STRONG | 4.76 | 7.10 | 3.90 | 3.90–5.62 | 0.53 |
| SCKT | STRONG | 0.7100 | 0.8300 | 0.6493 | 0.6493–0.7707 | 0.44 |
| MYGN | STRONG | 4.54 | 4.59 | 4.26 | 4.26–4.82 | 0.03 |
Inputs: daily prices and volume, SEC EDGAR filings and company share counts. Scores, labels and risk flags are rebuilt from these public inputs on every run.
Coverage: 9,975 SEC-registered tickers; 459 note/shelf tickers excluded; 3,600 at or under $5; 2,998 scored. Regime: NEUTRAL ×0.90 from IWM 281.52 vs 50-day 292.58, VIX 15.31.
| Source | Requests |
|---|---|
| www.sec.gov | 1 |
| query1.finance.yahoo.com | 4,111 |
| data.sec.gov | 3,606 |
Status codes: www.sec.gov 200 ×1 · query1.finance.yahoo.com 200 ×4,111 · data.sec.gov 200 ×3,606 · fallbacks used 0 · failures 0. Share counts: SEC XBRL frames CY2026Q3I, CY2026Q2I, CY2026Q1I. Labels: every value in this report is LIVE from the run at Oct 3, 2026, 12:58 AM EDT; nothing is carried forward or estimated.