GeoSignal Penny — Year-to-Date Report

Year to date · window Year to date · data 2026-10-02 · built Oct 3, 2026, 12:58 AM EDT · WEEKEND (last close)

Status: CONDITIONAL PASS
Scope: 2,998 scored of 3,600

CONDITIONAL PASSRegime: NEUTRAL regime (×0.90) · Risk-on tapeData and alerting only; not investment advice.

The day in reads

Morning Before the Bell · 08:00

32 STRONG and 599 WATCH signals in a NEUTRAL small-cap tape; 59 flagged for dilution

NEUTRAL regime (×0.90) · Risk-on tape

Penny Daily Watch · 10:30

631 names on watch; 59 flagged for dilution, 5 pump pattern(s)

NEUTRAL regime (×0.90) · Risk-on tape

Midday The Signal · 12:00

121 momentum movers on 2x+ volume; 32 STRONG, 599 WATCH in a NEUTRAL tape

NEUTRAL regime (×0.90) · Risk-on tape

Afternoon Report · 13:30

544 tickers with fresh SEC catalysts; 22 filed new registrations today

NEUTRAL regime (×0.90) · Risk-on tape

Evening The Close and Tomorrow · 16:20

Tomorrow's map: 115 5:1 setups and next-session ranges for the top 20

NEUTRAL regime (×0.90) · Risk-on tape

End of Day Summary · 17:00

Breadth 695 up / 796 down across 1,597 penny names trading $50K+ a day; regime NEUTRAL

NEUTRAL regime (×0.90) · Risk-on tape

Daily Consolidated Report · 17:30

32 STRONG and 599 WATCH signals in a NEUTRAL small-cap tape; 59 flagged for dilution

NEUTRAL regime (×0.90) · Risk-on tape

Weekly Report · 17:45

5 days: penny median -4.3% vs IWM -0.2%, 151 dilution filings in the window

NEUTRAL regime (×0.90) · Risk-on tape

Year-to-Date Report · Oct 3, 2026, 12:58 AM EDT

Year to date: penny median -37.4% vs IWM +14.4%, 5,469 dilution filings in the window

NEUTRAL regime (×0.90) · Risk-on tape

This report.

Findings and posture

Status CONDITIONAL PASS · NEUTRAL regime (×0.90) · Risk-on tape

Data integrity

92%

Directional persistence

47%

n=200

Coverage

83%

Request success

100.0%

What changed. Versus the prior read (3,556 names compared): up AMOD 0.346→0.698, SCKT 0.353→0.702, ZNB 0.310→0.623, SANG 0.416→0.689, AIXI 0.356→0.626, BIOM 0.193→0.456, KPEA 0.307→0.561, PRPH 0.331→0.575, FNGR 0.464→0.707, ABCFF 0.232→0.473; down WHLT 0.622→0.324, AETN 0.471→0.200, MGLD 0.870→0.628, TKRFF 0.467→0.233, HEPA 0.434→0.202, ONCO 0.569→0.340, SPQS 0.511→0.294, SPQSD 0.511→0.294, GRABW 0.505→0.292, FTHM 0.646→0.458. New STRONG: QSI, INSG, FEAM, BBD, FNGR, TNMG, SCKT, AMOD, ICU, SANG, CCO, SSM, SITC, NAUT, KEEL, SES, XPOF, OM, DLXY, NABL, ELME, OABI, AIB, UAA, ANNX, ARRY, JELD, HTZ. Dropped from STRONG: SUIG, ABUS, VGZ, MGLD, MNTK, SIGA, VZLA, IAUX, TDIC, NXDR, KLXE, IFBD.

Why it matters. Cross-asset read: 10-year yield +0.8% (yields up: tighter conditions for small caps); VIX -6.6% (volatility easing: risk appetite improving); High-yield credit +0.0% (credit bid: financing window open); Oil -1.8% (oil down: inflation relief); Russell 2000 (small caps) +0.9% (small caps confirm); Bitcoin -0.3% (crypto risk appetite negative). 32 STRONG and 599 WATCH names; 59 carry dilution risk of 0.6 or more.

What this means. Empirical odds for IWM next session in the NEUTRAL regime: +38% up, +38% flat, +23% down (n=39).

Event signals: cause and effect

Event signals · 217 open, 567 qualified of 679 measured (10-day window)

Each material SEC filing is measured against the stock's own price and volume from the session before it, read against every penny stock with the same kind of event, and scored by the GeoSignal Event Intelligence engine. Cases stay in every edition until they resolve.

Ticker	Event	Filing	First session	Since	Peak vol	Peers median	Read	Confidence	Status
AMOD	Other material event	8-K 2026-10-02	+198.3%	+198.3%	199.61x	-4.8% (n=574)	READ FROM REACTION	60	MONITORING
AMOD	Acquisition or disposition completed	8-K 2026-10-01	-24.5%	+125.2%	1596.80x	-14.1% (n=8)	READ FROM REACTION	60	MONITORING
KBSR	Material agreement	8-K 2026-10-01	-33.3%	+122.2%	5.96x	-2.7% (n=100)	CONFIRMED	60	MONITORING
NAMMW	Other material event	6-K 2026-09-30	+40.8%	+104.0%	10.78x	-4.8% (n=574)	READ FROM REACTION	60	MONITORING
SAIQ	Other material event	6-K 2026-10-01	-60.8%	-74.7%	141.69x	-4.8% (n=574)	READ FROM REACTION	80	MONITORING
MI	Other material event	6-K 2026-09-30	-3.6%	-60.1%	21.86x	-4.8% (n=574)	READ FROM REACTION	80	MONITORING
MI	Other material event	6-K 2026-09-30	-3.6%	-60.1%	21.86x	-4.8% (n=574)	READ FROM REACTION	80	MONITORING
NIVF	Other material event	6-K 2026-09-30	+133.3%	+79.2%	206.36x	-4.8% (n=574)	READ FROM REACTION	60	MONITORING
HVIIU	Other material event	8-K 2026-09-23	-55.3%	-55.3%	1.43x	-4.8% (n=574)	READ FROM REACTION	80	MONITORING
FNGR	Material agreement	8-K 2026-09-29	-2.8%	+74.7%	18.09x	-2.7% (n=100)	CONFIRMED	60	MONITORING
HVIIU	Material agreement	8-K 2026-09-22	-16.3%	-62.6%	3.16x	-2.7% (n=100)	CONTRADICTED	70	MONITORING
LIFD	Acquisition or disposition completed	8-K 2026-10-01	0.0%	+70.0%	1.88x	-14.1% (n=8)	READ FROM REACTION	60	MONITORING
APUS	Other material event	8-K 2026-09-29	-21.4%	-49.6%	0.12x	-4.8% (n=574)	READ FROM REACTION	80	MONITORING
WHLR	Share offering / registration	424B3 2026-09-29	-18.3%	-49.4%	0.08x	-6.0% (n=235)	CONFIRMED	80	MONITORING
WHLR	Share offering / registration	424B3 2026-09-29	-18.3%	-49.4%	0.08x	-6.0% (n=235)	CONFIRMED	80	MONITORING
WHLR	Share offering / registration	424B3 2026-09-29	-18.3%	-49.4%	0.08x	-6.0% (n=235)	CONFIRMED	80	MONITORING
WHLR	Share offering / registration	424B3 2026-09-29	-18.3%	-49.4%	0.08x	-6.0% (n=235)	CONFIRMED	80	MONITORING
WHLR	Unregistered share sale	8-K 2026-09-29	-18.3%	-49.4%	0.08x	-2.6% (n=56)	CONFIRMED	80	MONITORING
DKI	Other material event	6-K 2026-09-30	-38.4%	-45.9%	63.37x	-4.8% (n=574)	READ FROM REACTION	80	MONITORING
DKI	Share offering / registration	F-1 2026-09-30	-38.4%	-45.9%	63.37x	-6.0% (n=235)	CONFIRMED	80	MONITORING
QTEX	Other material event	6-K 2026-10-01	+15.1%	+61.3%	70.10x	-4.8% (n=574)	READ FROM REACTION	60	MONITORING
SGLA	Unregistered share sale	8-K 2026-09-29	-54.7%	-39.7%	22.14x	-2.6% (n=56)	CONFIRMED	80	MONITORING
LRHC	Leadership change	8-K 2026-09-29	-1.6%	-38.3%	12.86x	-2.9% (n=90)	READ FROM REACTION	80	MONITORING
VERI	Other material event	8-K 2026-10-01	-37.1%	-37.1%	8.76x	-4.8% (n=574)	READ FROM REACTION	80	MONITORING
VERI	Share offering / registration	424B5 2026-10-01	-37.1%	-37.1%	8.76x	-6.0% (n=235)	CONFIRMED	80	MONITORING

By event type

Type	Stocks	Median	Up	Down	Qualified
Other material event	591	-4.8%	140	378	296
Share offering / registration	240	-6.0%	55	157	103
Material agreement	107	-2.7%	29	59	49
Leadership change	96	-2.9%	25	61	29
Unregistered share sale	61	-2.6%	20	30	21
Charter amendment / reverse split	41	-1.9%	8	22	15
Delisting / listing-standard notice	35	0.0%	14	16	7
Shareholder vote results	34	-4.7%	9	21	14
Late periodic filing	23	0.0%	3	9	7
Results of operations	22	-2.8%	5	15	14
Auditor change	11	0.0%	2	2	0
Acquisition or disposition completed	10	-14.1%	3	5	8
Agreement terminated	5	+1.9%	4	1	3
Change in control	2	-11.3%	1	1	1
Bankruptcy or receivership	2	-33.0%	0	1	0
Debt acceleration / default trigger	2	-6.6%	0	1	0
Change to shareholder rights	1	-31.9%	0	1	0
Material impairment	1	+7.4%	1	0	0
Prior financials unreliable	1	-3.8%	0	1	0

Dashboard 1 of 5

① PSS Leaderboard

Penny Signal Score per name, grouped by exchange. Label bands: STRONG ≥ 0.65 · WATCH ≥ 0.5 · NEUTRAL ≥ 0.35. Dashed lines mark the thresholds. Δ = change since the prior read. ⚑ = SEC catalyst or dilution note (hover).

Ticker	Price	Chg	Momentum	Reliability	Liquidity	Regime ×	Base	Dilution	Catalyst	PSS	Label	Δ

The score combines momentum, filing reliability and liquidity, adjusts for the small-cap regime and cuts for dilution risk from SEC filings. The same method is applied to every ticker.

Dashboards 2 & 3 of 5

② Group Allocation

Scored names by exchange tier and price band (count; equal weight).

Nasdaq: 1,800 names, 443 STRONG/WATCH, avg PSS 0.46 · OTC: 1,354 names, 16 STRONG/WATCH, avg PSS 0.33 · NYSE: 432 names, 172 STRONG/WATCH, avg PSS 0.50 · Unlisted: 14 names, 0 STRONG/WATCH, avg PSS 0.32

③ Signal Action Mix

Label distribution across the penny universe.

Dashboard 4 of 5

④ PSS Distribution & Regime Sensitivity

Left: how scores cluster. Right: the regime multiplier at which each top name drops out of its label; bars above the dashed line flip first if the regime compresses.

STRONG/WATCH counts under each regime band: ACTIVE ×1.00: 164/901 · NEUTRAL ×0.90: 32/598 (current) · DEFENSIVE ×0.75: 0/113 · DISLOCATED ×0.60: 0/3

Dashboard 5 of 5

⑤ Performance & P&L

Equal-weight cohorts and model portfolios over the trailing 30 sessions, indexed to 100, against IWM. Membership is today's.

Signal Core return

+97.7%

Sharpe (30D)

6.91

Max drawdown

-9.0%

IWM return

-5.4%

Series	Members	Return	Sharpe	Max DD	Ann. vol
STRONG	32	+70.7%	6.68	-8.5%	+71.2%
STRONG + WATCH	587	+2.0%	0.96	-6.2%	+18.8%
NEUTRAL	822	-14.4%	-7.06	-15.9%	+18.3%
AVOID	188	-11.9%	-1.60	-16.3%	+57.1%
Penny universe	1,597	-8.3%	-3.61	-10.0%	+19.5%
IWM	1	-5.4%	-3.89	-7.3%	+11.9%

Model portfolios

Model	Members	Return	Sharpe	Max DD	Holdings
A Signal Core	25	+97.7%	6.91	-9.0%	QSI, INSG, FEAM, RXRX, BBD, FNGR, PACB, TNMG, SCKT, MYGN, AMOD, ICU, SANG, CCO, SSM, SITC, NAUT, KEEL, GLND, SES, XPOF, OM, DLXY, NABL, ELME
B Momentum	10	+89.7%	3.12	-18.6%	FLUX, ZNB, CYCU, AMOD, HGAS, AIXI, GIFT, QTEX, PFAI, ASFH
C Quality Resilience	10	+39.0%	4.71	-8.2%	QSI, INSG, RXRX, PACB, MYGN, SANG, CCO, SSM, SITC, KEEL

Sharpe = mean(daily return)/σ × √252; max drawdown = peak-to-trough on the indexed curve. Series use today's membership, so they describe how today's picks have traded, not a live track record. The paper-trading log in the app is the forward record.

Technical analytics

Technical analytics — 30-session window

Name	Close	Day	SMA20	SMA50	vs SMA20	Momentum	Ann. vol	Trend
IWM benchmark	281.52	+0.9%	—	—	—	-5.4%	—	Bearish
QSI	1.55	+8.4%	0.8584	0.8064	+80.6%	+98.7%	+146%	Bullish
INSG	4.61	+5.5%	4.14	4.84	+11.3%	+14.7%	+92%	Mixed
FEAM	3.88	+20.1%	2.32	1.84	+67.2%	+148.7%	+199%	Bullish
RXRX	4.12	+1.2%	3.66	3.42	+12.5%	+23.4%	+87%	Bullish
BBD	3.65	+4.0%	3.49	3.39	+4.6%	+22.5%	+38%	Bullish
FNGR	0.2480	+40.9%	0.1619	0.2157	+53.2%	+8.3%	+196%	Mixed
PACB	2.54	+1.2%	1.59	1.42	+60.2%	+106.5%	+116%	Bullish
TNMG	4.76	+14.7%	3.51	1.67	+35.6%	+1130.0%	+2432%	Bullish
SCKT	0.7100	+31.5%	0.5215	0.6492	+36.1%	+9.2%	+148%	Mixed
MYGN	4.54	+11.8%	3.88	3.66	+17.0%	+41.0%	+71%	Bullish
AMOD	3.49	+198.3%	1.93	3.10	+80.8%	-24.1%	+723%	Mixed
ICU	4.69	+25.1%	3.41	3.31	+37.5%	+40.4%	+109%	Bullish
SANG	4.88	-0.4%	3.86	3.95	+26.5%	+20.2%	+137%	Mixed
CCO	2.39	-0.4%	2.37	2.38	+0.7%	0.0%	+10%	Mixed
SSM	2.63	+19.2%	1.76	2.67	+49.9%	-0.2%	+391%	Mixed

SMA = arithmetic mean of completed daily closes. Momentum = close vs 30 sessions ago. Ann. vol = standard deviation of 20-session daily returns × √252. Trend: price above SMA20 above SMA50 = Bullish; reversed = Bearish; otherwise Mixed.

Cross-asset and economic confirmation

Cross-asset tape

Transmission read — Risk-on tape

Instrument	Day	Trend	Read
10-year yield	+0.76%	Bullish	yields up: tighter conditions for small caps
VIX	-6.59%	Mixed	volatility easing: risk appetite improving
High-yield credit	+0.01%	Bearish	credit bid: financing window open
Oil	-1.77%	Mixed	oil down: inflation relief
Russell 2000 (small caps)	+0.90%	Bearish	small caps confirm
Bitcoin	-0.33%	Bullish	crypto risk appetite negative

Instrument	Class	Close	Day	Momentum
Russell 2000 (small caps) IWM	Equity	281.52	+0.90%	-5.4%
S&P 500 SPY	Equity	769.64	+0.74%	+0.9%
Dow 30 DIA	Equity	511.10	+0.49%	-3.1%
Nasdaq-100 QQQ	Equity	749.58	+1.02%	+5.4%
20Y+ Treasuries TLT	Rates	77.48	-0.30%	-5.9%
10-year yield ^TNX	Rates	5.28	+0.76%	+12.4%
High-yield credit HYG	Credit	76.91	+0.01%	-3.3%
Gold GLD	Commodity	380.14	-0.68%	-8.5%
Oil USO	Commodity	147.37	-1.77%	+9.5%
VIX ^VIX	Volatility	15.31	-6.59%	+1.2%
Bitcoin BTC-USD	Crypto	84574.74	-0.33%	+9.4%
Ethereum ETH-USD	Crypto	2675.79	-1.10%	+11.9%

Catalysts, dilution and setups

SEC catalysts

Ticker	PSS	Label	Filings
FEAM	0.72	STRONG	8-K 1.01/2.01/2.02/2.03/9.01 2026-10-01
KITT	0.54	WATCH	8-K 1.01/2.03/9.01 2026-10-02; 8-K 1.01/9.01 2026-10-02; 8-K 1.01/9.01 2026-10-01; 8-K 1.01/9.01 2026-09-29
EZRA	0.49	NEUTRAL	8-K/A 2.01/9.01 2026-09-30; 8-K 1.01/1.02/2.01/9.01 2026-09-30
CRTD	0.48	NEUTRAL	8-K 1.01 2026-10-01; 8-K 1.01 2026-09-29
FEAV	0.47	NEUTRAL	8-K 1.01/2.01/2.02/2.03/9.01 2026-10-01
BNBX	0.41	NEUTRAL	8-K/A 1.01/9.01 2026-10-02; 8-K 7.01/9.01 2026-10-02; 8-K 1.01/9.01 2026-10-01
ONAR	0.34	AVOID	8-K 1.01/2.01/2.03/7.01/9.01 2026-09-30; 8-K 1.01/2.03/3.02/7.01/9.01 2026-09-29
KITTW	—	INSUFFICIENT HISTORY	8-K 1.01/2.03/9.01 2026-10-02; 8-K 1.01/9.01 2026-10-02; 8-K 1.01/9.01 2026-10-01; 8-K 1.01/9.01 2026-09-29
VERI	0.56	WATCH	8-K 8.01/9.01 2026-10-01; 8-K 1.01/7.01/9.01 2026-10-01
AMOD	0.70	STRONG	8-K 8.01 2026-10-02; 8-K 2.01/8.01 2026-10-01
MKZR	0.50	WATCH	8-K 7.01/8.01/9.01 2026-10-02; 8-K 7.01/8.01/9.01 2026-09-30
AMODW	—	INSUFFICIENT HISTORY	8-K 8.01 2026-10-02; 8-K 2.01/8.01 2026-10-01
INSG	0.73	STRONG	8-K 1.01/2.01/3.02/7.01/9.01 2026-10-01
FNGR	0.71	STRONG	8-K 1.01/8.01/9.01 2026-09-29
JELD	0.65	STRONG	8-K 1.01/7.01/9.01 2026-09-29
FLWS	0.60	WATCH	8-K 1.01/7.01/9.01 2026-09-29
TPET	0.58	WATCH	8-K 1.01/7.01/9.01 2026-09-30
ROC	0.57	WATCH	8-K 1.01/7.01/9.01 2026-09-30
CRMT	0.57	WATCH	8-K 1.01/8.01 2026-10-01
LAB	0.55	WATCH	8-K 1.01/1.02/7.01/9.01 2026-09-30

Dilution and pump radar

Ticker	Price	Chg	RV	Risk	Why
FLUX	0.6400	+57.3%	958.48x	0.64	5 registration/prospectus filing(s) in 90d (424B3); shares outstanding +28% year over year; +57% on 958x volume with no SEC filing catalyst
AMIX	3.78	-3.6%	23.82x	0.70	5 registration/prospectus filing(s) in 90d (424B3, 424B5, S-3); shares outstanding +66% year over year; charter amendment 8-K (item 5.03, often a reverse split) on 2026-06-24
SHFS	1.18	-9.2%	4.29x	0.80	4 registration/prospectus filing(s) in 90d (424B7, S-1, S-1/A); shares outstanding +300% year over year; charter amendment 8-K (item 5.03, often a reverse split) on 2026-10-01
SMTK	1.65	+0.6%	4.27x	0.80	4 registration/prospectus filing(s) in 90d (S-3, S-1, 424B3, S-3/A); shares outstanding +361% year over year; charter amendment 8-K (item 5.03, often a reverse split) on 2026-08-21
SEV	1.66	-2.6%	2.56x	0.65	4 registration/prospectus filing(s) in 90d (S-3, 424B4, S-1/A, S-1); shares outstanding +181% year over year
CDT	0.9900	-20.8%	2.31x	0.80	4 registration/prospectus filing(s) in 90d (424B3, S-1); shares outstanding +287% year over year; charter amendment 8-K (item 5.03, often a reverse split) on 2026-09-25
BBBYW	0.3700	-14.9%	1.75x	0.62	5 registration/prospectus filing(s) in 90d (424B3, 424B5, S-8, S-3); shares outstanding +38% year over year; charter amendment 8-K (item 5.03, often a reverse split) on 2026-08-14
HOST	3.60	-7.2%	1.62x	0.80	4 registration/prospectus filing(s) in 90d (424B5); shares outstanding +115% year over year; charter amendment 8-K (item 5.03, often a reverse split) on 2026-09-17
OTLK	0.5930	+3.1%	1.23x	0.80	4 registration/prospectus filing(s) in 90d (424B5, 424B3, S-3); shares outstanding +448% year over year; charter amendment 8-K (item 5.03, often a reverse split) on 2026-07-16
USBC	0.5300	-1.8%	1.05x	0.65	3 registration/prospectus filing(s) in 90d (S-1/A); shares outstanding +5077% year over year

Pump pattern: HGAS +95.8% on 104.21x volume, no SEC filing · FLUX +57.3% on 958.48x volume, no SEC filing · LTHIF +180.9% on 62.5x volume, no SEC filing · HSTC +976.9% on 13.14x volume, no SEC filing · RDAR +100.0% on 28.72x volume, no SEC filing

New registration/prospectus filings: PLAG (424B5) · KPLT (S-3/A, S-3, S-8, 424B3) · NEOV (S-3, 424B3) · SYNX (424B5) · BSEM (S-1, 424B3, S-1/A) · GLBS (F-3, 424B3) · NWGL (424B5, S-8, 424B3, F-1/A, F-1, F-3) · NEWH (424B3, S-1) · ENHA (424B3, S-1, S-8) · MAIA (424B3, S-3) · AERG (S-8) · TPST (424B3, S-3, S-1) · SBFM (S-1, 424B3, 424B5) · BESS (S-3/A, S-3) · HCWB (S-1, S-1/A) · NIKI (S-3/A, S-3) · LEXX (S-3) · BLRX (424B3, F-1, 424B5) · UZX (F-3/A, F-3, 424B5) · CDT (424B3, S-1) · CNDIF (424B2, 424B5, 424B3) · VSEE (S-1)

5:1 setups

Ticker	Last	Target	R/R	PSS
ABUS	4.45	5.23	5.54	0.64
GT	4.84	6.25	6.43	0.64
SCNX	0.1590	0.3850	7.89	0.62
SOC	3.51	5.38	5.78	0.62
SGRX	1.26	3.44	9.03	0.62
VRRM	2.81	4.18	7.92	0.61
FLWS	2.56	3.74	5.84	0.60
ABR	3.56	5.25	9.21	0.60
MPT	3.27	4.08	5.27	0.60
LAC	2.55	3.32	6.20	0.60

Momentum movers

Ticker	Last	Chg	RV	PSS	Label
FLUX	0.6400	+57.3%	958.48x	0.52	AVOID
ZNB	1.54	+45.3%	920.48x	0.62	WATCH
CYCU	3.82	+42.0%	231.5x	0.64	WATCH
AMOD	3.49	+198.3%	199.61x	0.70	STRONG
HGAS	0.0985	+95.8%	104.21x	0.57	WATCH
AIXI	1.81	+49.0%	92.58x	0.63	WATCH
GIFT	0.5500	+7.4%	64.84x	0.52	WATCH
LTHIF	0.0750	+180.9%	62.5x	0.45	NEUTRAL
QTEX	1.10	+40.1%	54.38x	0.64	WATCH
AUID	0.4390	+16.1%	36.81x	0.48	NEUTRAL
RDAR	0.0002	+100.0%	28.72x	0.35	AVOID
PFAI	2.53	+5.4%	22.86x	0.54	WATCH
ASFH	0.2340	+10.1%	21.5x	0.61	WATCH
PBSV	0.5000	+11.1%	16.72x	0.57	WATCH
SCKT	0.7100	+31.5%	15.43x	0.70	STRONG
KPEA	0.4293	+30.9%	15.22x	0.56	WATCH
BCUFF	0.0550	+7.0%	15.2x	0.47	NEUTRAL
BIOM	0.5000	+6.4%	14.04x	0.46	NEUTRAL
HSTC	0.7000	+976.9%	13.14x	0.44	NEUTRAL
ICU	4.69	+25.1%	12.54x	0.69	STRONG

Year to date performance

Year to date: penny median -37.4% vs IWM +14.4%

1,528 names with history trading $50,000+ a day: 316 up, 1,206 down, 6 unchanged. SEC filings in the window: 5,469 registrations or prospectuses, 23,518 8-K/6-K, 763 charter amendments, 853 late-filing notices.

Top gainers

Ticker	Return	Last	Label
SKFG	+1999.4%	1.85	AVOID
IQEPF	+1069.3%	0.7250	NEUTRAL
ALP	+666.7%	4.60	NEUTRAL
AURFF	+509.5%	1.13	AVOID
MRAI	+443.6%	3.43	NEUTRAL
NRSN	+411.7%	3.94	NEUTRAL
MTNB	+350.5%	2.64	NEUTRAL
DKI	+336.7%	1.38	NEUTRAL
RXT	+324.3%	4.12	WATCH
WNDW	+292.9%	1.65	NEUTRAL

Top decliners

Ticker	Return	Last	Label
ADTX	-100.0%	0.0030	AVOID
CTNT	-100.0%	2.62	NEUTRAL
SXTC	-100.0%	2.41	NEUTRAL
AREB	-100.0%	0.1050	NEUTRAL
CDT	-100.0%	0.9900	AVOID
HUBC	-100.0%	1.01	NEUTRAL
LBGJ	-100.0%	2.03	NEUTRAL
WHLR	-100.0%	2.07	AVOID
HKIT	-100.0%	2.48	NEUTRAL
ELPW	-100.0%	2.97	NEUTRAL

Current-label cohorts over the window

Cohort	Names	Median	Mean
STRONG + WATCH	576	-26.7%	-16.7%
NEUTRAL	784	-46.9%	-34.4%
AVOID	168	-49.3%	-21.2%

Most active dilutive filers

Ticker	Filings	Dilution	Shares YoY
CNDIF	562	0.35	—
WHLR	116	0.67	+57%
PRKR	81	0.42	+22%
MSPR	80	0.35	—
SPWR	68	0.65	+151%
PSEC	68	0.53	+11%
RUBI	50	0.35	—
BDRX	49	0.35	—
CISS	44	0.35	—
FLD	32	0.39	+14%

Scenarios and next-session action board

Scenarios — IWM next session

Empirical frequencies over the last 39 NEUTRAL-regime sessions; up = above +0.5%, down = below -0.5%.

Bull

+38%

Trigger: IWM closes above its 20-day high (296.01) with ^VIX under 20

Read: Next-session IWM gain above +0.5%. STRONG names with catalysts get follow-through first.

Checkpoint: Watch the action board breakout levels at the open.

Base

+38%

Trigger: IWM holds between 277.89 and 296.01

Read: Next-session move inside -0.5% to +0.5%. Stock-specific catalysts drive penny returns.

Checkpoint: Rank by PSS; size by the ATR band.

Bear

+23%

Trigger: IWM loses its 20-day average (285.01) or ^VIX above 20

Read: Next-session loss beyond -0.5%. Dilution names and pump patterns unwind hardest.

Checkpoint: Respect invalidation levels; avoid-list names first to fail.

Next-session action board

Ticker	Label	Last	Breakout above	Invalidation below	ATR band	R/R
QSI	STRONG	1.55	1.55	1.43	1.43–1.67	0.00
INSG	STRONG	4.61	4.76	4.33	4.33–4.88	0.15
FEAM	STRONG	3.88	3.92	3.48	3.48–4.28	0.02
RXRX	STRONG	4.12	4.29	3.85	3.85–4.39	0.17
BBD	STRONG	3.65	3.66	3.54	3.54–3.76	0.03
FNGR	STRONG	0.2480	0.2860	0.2233	0.2233–0.2727	0.32
PACB	STRONG	2.54	2.65	2.37	2.37–2.71	0.09
TNMG	STRONG	4.76	7.10	3.90	3.90–5.62	0.53
SCKT	STRONG	0.7100	0.8300	0.6493	0.6493–0.7707	0.44
MYGN	STRONG	4.54	4.59	4.26	4.26–4.82	0.03

Breakout = 20-day high. Invalidation = the higher of 20-day support and the lower ATR band. Levels are data, not orders.

Methodology, provenance and sources

Method

Inputs: daily prices and volume, SEC EDGAR filings and company share counts. Scores, labels and risk flags are rebuilt from these public inputs on every run.

Coverage: 9,975 SEC-registered tickers; 459 note/shelf tickers excluded; 3,600 at or under $5; 2,998 scored. Regime: NEUTRAL ×0.90 from IWM 281.52 vs 50-day 292.58, VIX 15.31.

Source	Requests
www.sec.gov	1
query1.finance.yahoo.com	4,111
data.sec.gov	3,606

Status codes: www.sec.gov 200 ×1 · query1.finance.yahoo.com 200 ×4,111 · data.sec.gov 200 ×3,606 · fallbacks used 0 · failures 0. Share counts: SEC XBRL frames CY2026Q3I, CY2026Q2I, CY2026Q1I. Labels: every value in this report is LIVE from the run at Oct 3, 2026, 12:58 AM EDT; nothing is carried forward or estimated.

Decision support, not investment advice. Data and alerting only; not investment advice.

GeoSignal Penny · Year-to-Date Report · 2026-10-02.